
Dogecoin is currently trading around $0.254, having successfully broken out of a descending channel that defined much of its price action over the past year.

DOGE’s Weekly Analysis By ‘Trader Tardigrade’
Source: X (@TATrader_Alan)
This breakout has led to the formation of a double bottom pattern on the daily chart, a textbook signal for bullish reversals. A double bottom is one of the most reliable chart patterns, often signaling a significant price rebound when confirmed by volume and momentum indicators.
DOGE is consolidating between $0.19 and $0.21, suggesting the asset is retesting previous resistance as new support. If Dogecoin can close convincingly above $0.21, it may initiate a move toward $0.25, the neckline of the double bottom formation.
Once $0.25 is breached, analysts expect Dogecoin to target $0.48, which would complete a 2x move from current levels.
More importantly, it could pave the way for a parabolic rally up to $1, based on both chart structure and historical precedent.
Futures markets reflect growing trader interest in Dogecoin. Open interest for DOGE futures rose from $1.70 billion to $2.85 billion in July, a 67% increase. This kind of surge in OI typically signals that institutional and retail traders are positioning for a significant price move.
Interestingly, funding rates have stayed neutral, which means the market isn’t overheated with excessive leverage. This creates a healthy setup for continued upward momentum.
While speculative interest grows, the Spot Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) is also trending higher, suggesting genuine buying pressure in the spot market. This reinforces the idea that real demand, not just hype, is driving DOGE’s recent rally.
Another bullish indicator is the Long-Term Holder Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (LTH-NUPL) metric. DOGE has entered the Optimism-Anxiety zone, suggesting long-term holders are in moderate profit and are beginning to lean toward a more confident market outlook.

DOGE Long-Term holder NUPL
Source: Glassnode
Historically, every major Dogecoin rally, including the famous 2021 and early 2024 runs, began when this metric entered the same zone. It indicates that long-term holders are reducing sell pressure, allowing new capital to push prices higher.
If DOGE can reclaim $0.25, this will not only confirm the double bottom breakout but also align with bullish signals from both the weekly chart and on-chain data.
Given past performance and market structure, a move toward $1 is technically feasible, representing a 300% gain from current levels.
While no prediction is guaranteed, technical and on-chain data suggest that DOGE could realistically hit $1 by late 2025 if it reclaims and holds above key resistance levels like $0.25 and $0.48.
The immediate resistance is $0.21, followed by $0.25 (the neckline of the double bottom). After that, $0.48 is the next major level to watch.
DOGE is showing strong bullish momentum, but as with any cryptocurrency investment, timing the market carries risk. Investors should consider technical indicators, on-chain data, and risk tolerance before making a decision.
Dogecoin’s price is influenced by a mix of factors: technical chart patterns, speculative trading volume, broader crypto market sentiment, and occasionally social media or celebrity endorsements (e.g., Elon Musk).
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