March 24, 2025
Shifting Dynamics
In Q1 2025, Ethereum’s transaction fee revenue is projected to reach about $217 million, a sharp decrease from $4.3 billion in Q4 2021. The DeFi ecosystem, NFT sales, and Layer 2 TVL saw growth in 2021, but the dynamics have shifted since.
Source: TokenTerminal
Ethereum’s monthly revenues have been falling, with $150.8 million in January and $47.5 million in February 2025. Q4 2024 saw only $551.8 million in transaction fees, further highlighting the decline.
Worst Quarterly Decline
The rise of Layer 2 solutions, aided by EIP-4844, has reduced mainnet fee revenue by making transactions cheaper off-chain. Additionally, NFT activity has dropped significantly since its 2021 peak.
ETH’s price has also followed a downward trend, dropping 58.8% from its November 2021 high. In Q1 2025, ETH saw a 40% loss, marking its worst quarterly decline since 2018. As of now, ETH is trading at $1,997, with a 0.45% gain over the past day.